Thunderball: the delta system recalculated

The delta system records the gaps instead of the numbers: the lowest number, then the gap to the next. 3 · 8 · 9 · 21 · 30 becomes 3 · 5 · 1 · 12 · 9. The idea: small deltas are more frequent, so you build your lines with small deltas.

Delta frequency

Share of each delta value across the 3029 draws (all positions) against the exact probability. For a random draw, P(delta = g) = C(N−g, K−1) / C(N, K): small gaps are more frequent simply because more combinations contain them.

ObservedExpected
Δ 112.9 % / 12.8 %
Δ 211.5 % / 11.5 %
Δ 310.5 % / 10.2 %
Δ 48.8 % / 9.1 %
Δ 58.0 % / 8.1 %
Δ 67.5 % / 7.1 %
Δ 76.4 % / 6.2 %
Δ 85.1 % / 5.5 %
Δ 94.5 % / 4.8 %
Δ 104.3 % / 4.1 %
Δ 113.3 % / 3.6 %
Δ 123.3 % / 3.0 %
Δ 132.7 % / 2.6 %
Δ 142.0 % / 2.2 %
Δ 152.0 % / 1.8 %
Δ 161.5 % / 1.5 %
Δ 171.2 % / 1.3 %
Δ 181.0 % / 1.0 %
Δ 190.9 % / 0.8 %
Δ 200.6 % / 0.7 %
Δ 210.6 % / 0.5 %
Δ 220.4 % / 0.4 %
Δ 230.4 % / 0.3 %
Δ 240.3 % / 0.2 %
Δ 250.2 % / 0.2 %
Δ 260.1 % / 0.1 %
Δ 270.1 % / 0.1 %
Δ 280.1 % / 0.1 %
Δ 290.0 % / 0.0 %
Δ 300.0 % / 0.0 %
Δ 310.0 % / 0.0 %
Δ 320.0 % / 0.0 %

80% of deltas are between 1 and 11. Average delta: observed 6.65, expected 6.67.

Deltas of the latest draws

DateWinning numbersΔ
17.10.20269 18 23 27 289 · 9 · 5 · 4 · 1
16.10.20264 23 27 35 394 · 19 · 4 · 8 · 4
14.10.20266 12 18 32 346 · 6 · 6 · 14 · 2
13.10.20261 19 21 25 381 · 18 · 2 · 4 · 13
10.10.20264 15 16 18 334 · 11 · 1 · 2 · 15
09.10.20263 4 25 38 393 · 1 · 21 · 13 · 1
07.10.20265 9 13 23 355 · 4 · 4 · 10 · 12
06.10.20269 27 32 34 399 · 18 · 5 · 2 · 5
03.10.202615 19 20 30 3515 · 4 · 1 · 10 · 5
02.10.20261 5 20 23 361 · 4 · 15 · 3 · 13
30.09.202619 24 29 33 3619 · 5 · 5 · 4 · 3
29.09.20261 17 25 28 311 · 16 · 8 · 3 · 3

Delta generator

Generates lines whose deltas follow the observed distribution (so frequent deltas appear more often). Option: maximum delta.

    Conclusion: the delta distribution of real draws matches chance exactly. A line with “typical” deltas is therefore no more likely than any other – the system merely rules out combinations (e.g. very spread out ones) that come up just as often as the rest.

    How it works

    The winning numbers are sorted; the deltas are the gaps between neighbouring numbers (the first number counts as the first delta). The page shows which deltas occurred how often and generates lines from typical deltas.

    Example

    3 – 11 – 17 – 30 – 44 gives the deltas 3, 8, 6, 13, 14.

    Limitations

    Small deltas are more common because mathematically there are more combinations with small gaps – not because they are "better". The odds of winning stay the same.

    Frequently asked questions about this tool

    Is the delta system a winning strategy?
    No. It only describes the shape of drawn combinations; every combination remains equally likely.
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