Odds of winning Lotto Texas: probability of each tier
Exact probabilities for one line, independent of stakes and prizes. They are the same in every draw.
Lotto Texas prizes by tier
| Tier | Matches | Probability | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 matches | 1 in 25,827,165 | 0.000004 % |
| 2 | 5 matches | 1 in 89,678 | 0.001115 % |
| 3 | 4 matches | 1 in 1,526 | 0.065512 % |
| 4 | 3 matches | 1 in 75 | 1.339365 % |
| Chance of winning something | 1 in 71.1 | 1.41 % |
Probability per play under the game rules (6 from 54), calculated exactly. 3 matches is a fixed amount ($3); jackpot, 5 and 4 matches are pari-mutuel and vary from draw to draw.
Multiple lines
With n different lines, the jackpot chance is multiplied by exactly n (the lines are mutually exclusive).
| Lines | Jackpot chance | Chance of winning |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 in 25,827,165 | 1.4 % |
| 2 | 1 in 12,913,582 | 2.8 % |
| 5 | 1 in 5,165,433 | 6.8 % |
| 10 | 1 in 2,582,716 | 13.2 % |
| 20 | 1 in 1,291,358 | 24.7 % |
| 50 | 1 in 516,543 | 50.7 % |
| 100 | 1 in 258,272 | 75.7 % |
Average wait
Playing one line per draw, this is the average time you wait for the first win in the tier: (156 draws per year)
| Tier | Draws | years |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25,827,165 | 165,558.8 |
| 2 | 89,678 | 574.9 |
| 3 | 1,526 | 9.8 |
| 4 | 75 | 0.5 |
For comparison
A jackpot chance of 1 in 25,827,165 is roughly equivalent to getting heads 25 times in a row when tossing a coin.