Texas Two Step: AI prediction and backtest – what are "statistical" lines worth?

Backtest: Quick Pick lines vs hot lines (12 months)

For each of the 105 draws from 23.10.2025 to 22.10.2026, each group plays 10 lines: random Quick Pick versus lines built from the 15 most drawn numbers over the previous 100 draws. The Bonus ball are random in both groups so that only the main numbers are compared. 1,050 lines per group in total.

Result: the two distributions differ over this period (chi² = 8.76, p = 0.033). Across many repeated tests, a gap like this turns up from time to time; it is not proof of a better method, as every combination remains equally likely.

AI prediction (k nearest neighbours)

For each draw, the model looks for the 7 past moments whose preceding 3 draws most resembled the current ones and plays the numbers most often drawn next. It is reapplied after every draw and never sees the future. 300 draws evaluated from 11.12.2023 to 22.10.2026.

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