The science of chance · our analysis

EuroMillions: €141m and still no winner – what 22 years of jackpots show

Illustration: a jackpot rising towards the cap, draw after draw
Illustration: Lottochaos

On Friday 6 November 2026, the Mega Jackpot of a guaranteed €130 million found no winner. It was the tenth draw in a row without a winner since 6 October, and the jackpot is estimated at around €141 million for Tuesday 10 November (as of 7 November). Is that unusual? We went through every draw since 2004.

How the jackpot grows, and how far

After each win the jackpot restarts at €17 million and grows with every draw without a winner (FDJ). It is capped at €250 million. Once at the cap, it can roll over four more times without growing; in the fifth draw at the cap it must be won, or it is shared among the winners of the next tier. The cap has changed often: €190 million from 2012 to 2020, then €10 million more each time it was reached, up to €250 million, fixed since late 2023.

The Mega Jackpot is a special case: the starting amount is set straight to €130 million. The one on 25 September 2026 was won in its first draw. The one on 6 November was not, and the jackpot kept growing from there.

What 1,996 draws show

From 13 February 2004 to 6 November 2026, the jackpot was won in 450 of 1,996 draws, roughly once every 4 to 5 draws on average. In half the cases it falls within 3 draws. Long runs are rare: only 38 cycles reached 10 or more draws without a winner, like the current one. Of those, 7 were won in the next draw, and half within two more draws. The longest runs:

Draws without a winnerFirst rolloverWon onWinnersPrize per winner
2223 Jul 20198 Oct 20191€190m
208 Apr 202517 Jun 20251€250m
1720 Jun 202519 Aug 20251€250m
152 Jan 201823 Feb 20182€88.9m
1424 May 201112 Jul 20111€185m
1422 Jun 201210 Aug 20121€190m
1414 Apr 20172 Jun 20171€153.9m
1422 Mar 202210 May 20221€215.8m
148 Oct 202426 Nov 20241€212.4m

The three most recent records all ended at the cap: €190 million in 2019, then €250 million twice in summer 2025. That is no coincidence: the bigger the jackpot, the longer it stays in play, and the more likely it is to hit the cap.

Why big jackpots eventually fall

The chance of a single line never changes: 1 in 139,838,160 for 5 numbers and 2 Lucky Stars. What changes is how many lines are played. As the jackpot climbs, far more people play, and the chance that at least one line wins rises with them. If every line were chosen at random, there would be about a 13% chance of at least one winner with 20 million lines, 30% with 50 million and 51% with 100 million. In practice it is a little lower, because many players pick the same popular combinations.

So a jackpot is never "due": every draw is independent, and 10 rollovers do not make the next one more likely for any given line. Only the crowd of players raises the chance that someone, somewhere, wins.

The bottom line

Ten draws without a winner is rare (fewer than one cycle in ten since 2004), but far from the 22-draw record of 2019. Your own chance is exactly the same as at €17 million. What a big jackpot changes is the amount at stake and the risk of having to share it.

Frequently asked questions

What is the maximum EuroMillions jackpot?

€250 million. Once reached, the jackpot can roll over four times without growing, then must be won in the fifth draw or shared with the next tier.

What happens if a Mega Jackpot is not won?

As on 6 November 2026, it rolls over to the next draw and keeps growing like a normal jackpot.

What is the longest run without a winner?

22 draws, from 23 July to 8 October 2019; the jackpot was won at the then cap of €190 million.

Are my odds better when the jackpot is high?

No, they stay at 1 in 139,838,160. Only the number of players rises, and with it the risk of sharing the prize.

🎲 What it means for you
If you play for a big jackpot, set your budget first and avoid the combinations everyone plays (dates, sequences): you will not win more often, but you will share less. Our EuroMillions expected value shows what a line is really worth at each jackpot level.

All EuroMillions drawsJackpot winnersSystem bets

Sources: FDJ, Jackpot EuroMillions : 141 M€ à gagner le mardi 10 novembre 2026; FDJ, Méga Jackpot EuroMillions; Tirage-Gagnant, pas de gagnant, 141 millions d'euros mardi 10 novembre; Donegal Live, €130m jackpot guaranteed; Euro-Millions.com, EuroMillions Jackpot Cap; The National Lottery (UK), réponse sur le plafond du jackpot
Our data: FDJ's official EuroMillions results file (1,996 draws, 13 Feb 2004 to 6 Nov 2026); a "draw without a winner" is a draw where tier 1 was not won; prize per winner as published. Chance of at least one winner for randomly chosen lines: 1 − (1 − 1/139,838,160)^n.

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