Lottochaos ☆Le mie giocate

Analisi: osservato contro atteso

Each statistic on this page is shown next to the value you would expect if the draws were purely random. The expected values are calculated exactly (closed-form formulas over all 1,533,939 combinations), not simulated. The result in advance: everywhere, what we observe stays within the range of chance.

695 estrazioni · 27/02/2020 – 22/10/2026 · Exact expected values under the hypothesis of uniform 5-from-47 draws

How close together are the five numbers?

The linear span is the distance from the smallest to the largest number (end positions included). The circular span reads the numbers 1 to 47 on a circle where 47 touches 1: the draw 4, 5, 7, 45, 47 is then no longer spread over 44 positions but concentrated on 10. The bars show the distribution of draws by span, observed and expected.

Ampiezza lineare

Media: osservato 32,9, atteso 33,0

Osservato Atteso
5–9 1 / 1,3
10–14 6 / 10,3
15–19 30 / 32,5
20–24 66 / 67,4
25–29 116 / 109,3
30–34 165 / 146,3
35–39 159 / 161,3
40–44 120 / 131,4
45–47 32 / 35,2

Ampiezza circolare

Media: osservato 27,2, atteso 27,2

Osservato Atteso
5–9 1 / 1,5
10–14 9 / 13,7
15–19 47 / 49,9
20–24 130 / 123,4
25–29 244 / 238,5
30–34 240 / 239,5
35–38 24 / 28,5

Le estrazioni più compatte

A circular span of at most 10 has a probability of 0,39% for a random draw. We therefore expected 2,7 such draws; there were 1.

DataNumeri vincenticircolarelineare
12/01/2023232425303199
20/06/2022134044471147
30/01/202315161922251111
15/10/20205101213161212
24/03/202234363841461313
30/11/20235404243461342
07/10/202417182223291313
30/10/20236121318191414
07/12/2023233739451444
15/06/2026781417201414
13/08/202033353745471515
13/02/202346917181515

Cosa si ripete dall'estrazione precedente?

For each draw, we count how many of its five numbers were already in the immediately preceding draw. The expected distribution is hypergeometric: 5 drawn from 47, of which 5 are marked.

Ripetizioni esatte

Media: osservato 0,496, atteso 0,532

Osservato Atteso
0 398 / 384,9
1 249 / 253,2
2 46 / 51,9
3 1 / 3,9
4–5 0 / 0,1

Vicini dell'estrazione precedente

Numero medio di numeri vincenti che sono vicini diretti (±1, in modo circolare) di un numero dell'estrazione precedente, senza esservi stati estratti.

0,899
Osservato
0,926
Atteso

L'ultima estrazione non contiene alcuna informazione sulla successiva. Rigiocare gli ultimi numeri o i loro vicini dà esattamente le stesse probabilità di qualsiasi altra combinazione.

La schedina come mappa di calore

The 47 numbers in rows of ten. The darker the cell, the more often the number was drawn. The expected value is the same for all; the differences are the normal spread of a binomial distribution.

Da sempre

695 estrazioni · Atteso: 73,9 / Numero · min 60, max 91

1632653914785716777758819681073
1187126913791470157716671774187319822064
2188226823762473256226862772286029813069
3175327933713483357636773770388339754075
4167427943764472456946634766

Ultime 100 estrazioni

100 estrazioni · Atteso: 10,6 / Numero · min 4, max 17

11728384145106117118139101010
11111281316141215111612171118619142010
21822102313241325426152713281029103013
319321533103411358361237838103911406
4110421043124444514469479

The gap between the rarest and the most frequent number looks large, but it is exactly what you expect from 47 independent counts. Over the last 100 draws the relative spread is even larger because the sample is smaller.

Quanto resta assente un numero?

For each number we measure the gap in draws between two appearances. If the draws are independent, this gap follows a geometric distribution with probability 5/47 ≈ 10.6% per draw: mean 9.4, and long absences are not rare, they are the rule.

3428 intervalli misurati · Media: osservato 9,27, atteso 9,40

Osservato Atteso
1 344 / 364,7
2 309 / 325,9
3–4 565 / 551,5
5–7 667 / 626,1
8–10 455 / 446,8
11–15 463 / 478,8
16–20 282 / 272,9
21–30 238 / 244,1
31–40 71 / 79,3
41+ 34 / 38,1

The longest absence in the data is 79 draws. The probability that a given number stays absent that long is 0,02%; with 47 numbers it is bound to happen eventually. The longest current absence is 37 draws. A number that has been absent for a long time is therefore not "due": the balls have no memory.

La mia combinazione

Enter five numbers: has this combination been drawn before? Which draws came closest?

Everything runs in your browser; nothing is stored or sent. That a combination has never been drawn is normal: out of 1,533,939 possible combinations only a tiny fraction has ever come up.

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