Lottochaos ☆Le mie giocate

Analisi: osservato contro atteso

Each statistic on this page is shown next to the value you would expect if the draws were purely random. The expected values are calculated exactly (closed-form formulas over all 12,103,014 combinations), not simulated. The result in advance: everywhere, what we observe stays within the range of chance.

937 estrazioni · 31/10/2017 – 20/10/2026 · Exact expected values under the hypothesis of uniform 5-from-70 draws

How close together are the five numbers?

The linear span is the distance from the smallest to the largest number (end positions included). The circular span reads the numbers 1 to 70 on a circle where 70 touches 1: the draw 4, 5, 7, 68, 70 is then no longer spread over 67 positions but concentrated on 10. The bars show the distribution of draws by span, observed and expected.

Ampiezza lineare

Media: osservato 48,4, atteso 48,3

Osservato Atteso
5–9 1 / 0,3
10–14 3 / 2,9
15–19 8 / 9,7
20–24 29 / 21,8
25–29 28 / 39,4
30–34 62 / 61,4
35–39 87 / 86,1
40–44 110 / 110,8
45–49 131 / 131,5
50–54 141 / 143,6
55–59 156 / 141,3
60–64 119 / 118,1
65–69 57 / 66,1
70–70 5 / 3,9

Ampiezza circolare

Media: osservato 39,9, atteso 39,7

Osservato Atteso
5–9 2 / 0,4
10–14 4 / 3,5
15–19 9 / 12,7
20–24 38 / 31,4
25–29 49 / 63,0
30–34 110 / 110,8
35–39 175 / 177,9
40–44 242 / 243,4
45–49 238 / 221,4
50–54 70 / 71,5
55–57 0 / 1,1

Le estrazioni più compatte

A circular span of at most 10 has a probability of 0,07% for a random draw. We therefore expected 0,7 such draws; there were 2.

DataNumeri vincenticircolarelineare
18/03/2025272831323377
12/06/2018135870970
10/01/20237131415181212
01/11/2022591516171313
24/05/202235663681466
17/12/202456666768691414
04/05/2018451012181515
03/12/202452606166671616
07/11/20171546068691869
28/07/202017202731341818
12/11/202130324246481919
04/01/2022461621221919

Cosa si ripete dall'estrazione precedente?

For each draw, we count how many of its five numbers were already in the immediately preceding draw. The expected distribution is hypergeometric: 5 drawn from 70, of which 5 are marked.

Ripetizioni esatte

Media: osservato 0,364, atteso 0,357

Osservato Atteso
0 628 / 638,8
1 276 / 261,8
2 31 / 33,8
3 1 / 1,6
4–5 0 / 0,0

Vicini dell'estrazione precedente

Numero medio di numeri vincenti che sono vicini diretti (±1, in modo circolare) di un numero dell'estrazione precedente, senza esservi stati estratti.

0,643
Osservato
0,654
Atteso

L'ultima estrazione non contiene alcuna informazione sulla successiva. Rigiocare gli ultimi numeri o i loro vicini dà esattamente le stesse probabilità di qualsiasi altra combinazione.

La schedina come mappa di calore

The 70 numbers in rows of ten. The darker the cell, the more often the number was drawn. The expected value is the same for all; the differences are the normal spread of a binomial distribution.

Da sempre

937 estrazioni · Atteso: 66,9 / Numero · min 53, max 87

1642663794685596667648749581087
1175126113671477157216681784187319702073
2162227423552472256526722768286229693072
3181326133703465355736573765387739644073
4160427943774466455346734759487249585056
5153526753645459556156685766587659716058
6166626963646473655366756753686369627065

Ultime 100 estrazioni

100 estrazioni · Atteso: 7,1 / Numero · min 2, max 12

172736475965768496107
1191261311142158168178186197206
21822723424525826102772822923012
316326335341035636103773883974010
4184210431144545346547948114910508
51105275375445595685775885911606
61562763126456556696746810695706

The gap between the rarest and the most frequent number looks large, but it is exactly what you expect from 70 independent counts. Over the last 100 draws the relative spread is even larger because the sample is smaller.

Quanto resta assente un numero?

For each number we measure the gap in draws between two appearances. If the draws are independent, this gap follows a geometric distribution with probability 5/70 ≈ 7.1% per draw: mean 14.0, and long absences are not rare, they are the rule.

4615 intervalli misurati · Media: osservato 13,83, atteso 14,00

Osservato Atteso
1 341 / 329,6
2 300 / 306,1
3–4 529 / 548,2
5–7 677 / 684,0
8–10 583 / 547,6
11–15 679 / 681,1
16–20 454 / 470,2
21–30 597 / 548,7
31–40 229 / 261,5
41+ 226 / 238,1

The longest absence in the data is 96 draws. The probability that a given number stays absent that long is 0,09%; with 70 numbers it is bound to happen eventually. The longest current absence is 54 draws. A number that has been absent for a long time is therefore not "due": the balls have no memory.

La mia combinazione

Enter five numbers: has this combination been drawn before? Which draws came closest?

Everything runs in your browser; nothing is stored or sent. That a combination has never been drawn is normal: out of 12,103,014 possible combinations only a tiny fraction has ever come up.

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