Lottochaos ☆Le mie giocate

Analisi: osservato contro atteso

Each statistic on this page is shown next to the value you would expect if the draws were purely random. The expected values are calculated exactly (closed-form formulas over all 1,906,884 combinations), not simulated. The result in advance: everywhere, what we observe stays within the range of chance.

1090 estrazioni · 06/11/2019 – 21/10/2026 · Exact expected values under the hypothesis of uniform 5-from-49 draws

How close together are the five numbers?

The linear span is the distance from the smallest to the largest number (end positions included). The circular span reads the numbers 1 to 49 on a circle where 49 touches 1: the draw 4, 5, 7, 47, 49 is then no longer spread over 46 positions but concentrated on 10. The bars show the distribution of draws by span, observed and expected.

Ampiezza lineare

Media: osservato 34,1, atteso 34,3

Osservato Atteso
5–9 1 / 1,7
10–14 17 / 13,8
15–19 53 / 43,7
20–24 91 / 91,7
25–29 149 / 151,1
30–34 213 / 208,0
35–39 238 / 241,1
40–44 207 / 222,4
45–49 121 / 116,5

Ampiezza circolare

Media: osservato 28,3, atteso 28,3

Osservato Atteso
5–9 1 / 2,0
10–14 21 / 18,1
15–19 71 / 65,7
20–24 151 / 162,3
25–29 322 / 321,5
30–34 414 / 405,2
35–39 110 / 115,3
40–40 0 / 0,0

Le estrazioni più compatte

A circular span of at most 10 has a probability of 0,32% for a random draw. We therefore expected 3,5 such draws; there were 2.

DataNumeri vincenticircolarelineare
11/03/2026101214161899
17/05/20259121314181010
27/03/20218101116181111
24/06/2024164547481148
30/06/20258101217181111
25/11/201933353841441212
21/12/202211121521221212
02/01/20231394145491249
22/07/202331333637421212
10/12/202533343539441212
02/11/202031333842431313
17/02/202129313435411313

Cosa si ripete dall'estrazione precedente?

For each draw, we count how many of its five numbers were already in the immediately preceding draw. The expected distribution is hypergeometric: 5 drawn from 49, of which 5 are marked.

Ripetizioni esatte

Media: osservato 0,508, atteso 0,510

Osservato Atteso
0 621 / 620,2
1 386 / 387,6
2 79 / 75,6
3 3 / 5,4
4–5 0 / 0,1

Vicini dell'estrazione precedente

Numero medio di numeri vincenti che sono vicini diretti (±1, in modo circolare) di un numero dell'estrazione precedente, senza esservi stati estratti.

0,861
Osservato
0,891
Atteso

L'ultima estrazione non contiene alcuna informazione sulla successiva. Rigiocare gli ultimi numeri o i loro vicini dà esattamente le stesse probabilità di qualsiasi altra combinazione.

La schedina come mappa di calore

The 49 numbers in rows of ten. The darker the cell, the more often the number was drawn. The expected value is the same for all; the differences are the normal spread of a binomial distribution.

Da sempre

1090 estrazioni · Atteso: 111,2 / Numero · min 87, max 134

193298312141135121612271208112911310113
119712114131191497151241610817113181061910720100
21108221222310424122251092612027103281172910930129
3113432116339434111351143611537103381223910540102
41115421134387441094511446110471124810849112

Ultime 100 estrazioni

100 estrazioni · Atteso: 10,2 / Numero · min 4, max 18

172731141351269711811971014
11412713121481512161417101818198205
211322122312249259261027728829103017
311432133373493511361437938173910406
4111425436446451246114794814499

The gap between the rarest and the most frequent number looks large, but it is exactly what you expect from 49 independent counts. Over the last 100 draws the relative spread is even larger because the sample is smaller.

Quanto resta assente un numero?

For each number we measure the gap in draws between two appearances. If the draws are independent, this gap follows a geometric distribution with probability 5/49 ≈ 10.2% per draw: mean 9.8, and long absences are not rare, they are the rule.

5401 intervalli misurati · Media: osservato 9,72, atteso 9,80

Osservato Atteso
1 553 / 551,1
2 490 / 494,9
3–4 855 / 843,4
5–7 990 / 969,0
8–10 696 / 701,6
11–15 746 / 766,2
16–20 442 / 447,3
21–30 418 / 413,6
31–40 142 / 141,0
41+ 69 / 72,9

The longest absence in the data is 115 draws. The probability that a given number stays absent that long is 0,00%; with 49 numbers it is bound to happen eventually. The longest current absence is 36 draws. A number that has been absent for a long time is therefore not "due": the balls have no memory.

La mia combinazione

Enter five numbers: has this combination been drawn before? Which draws came closest?

Everything runs in your browser; nothing is stored or sent. That a combination has never been drawn is normal: out of 1,906,884 possible combinations only a tiny fraction has ever come up.

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